SpaceX Listing Fallout: 33 Trillion Won Short Bets Raise Selling Pressure

■AI PRISM [Global News] SpaceX Short Interest Hits $23.6 Billion Amazon AWS Revenue Surges 37% Hyperscaler Capital Spending Jumps 90%

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By Ahn Hye-ji (Intern Reporter)
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null - Seoul Economic Daily Society News from South Korea

▲ AI PRISM* Customized Economic Briefing

*Editor's Note: 'AI PRISM' (Personalized Report & Insight Summarizing Media) is an "artificial intelligence (AI)-based personalized news recommendation and summarization service" developed with support from the Korea Press Foundation. It selects and provides six customized news items for each reader type.

[Key Issue Briefing]

■ Expanding Short Selling: Short bets against SpaceX have swelled to $23.6 billion, surpassing Tesla. Bearish bets have surged as the company's first quarterly earnings report coincides with the lifting of an insider lockup.

■ Mixed Cloud Results: Amazon has joined the $3 trillion market capitalization club on the back of its cloud business growth. Meanwhile, Meta and Alphabet saw their free cash flow plunge or turn negative, creating a divide in fortunes among hyperscalers.

■ China-Driven Trade Risk: Concerns are growing over China's low-price offensive as domestic electric vehicles were excluded from production tax credit eligibility. Shein also appears to have lowered its target valuation for a Hong Kong listing by nearly 70% at most compared to 2022, due to the impact of U.S. tariff policy.

[News of Interest to Global Investors]

1. SpaceX Short Interest Surpasses Tesla…"Stock Likely to Fall Further"

- Key Summary: Short bets against SpaceX have rapidly swelled, surpassing Tesla. According to financial analytics firm S3 Partners, SpaceX's notional short interest stands at approximately $23.6 billion (about 33.7 trillion won), reaching 32.2% of the total tradable float. SpaceX released its first quarterly earnings since its listing on the 4th and faces its first lockup expiration on the 6th, raising the possibility that selling pressure will increase. The New York Times (NYT) projected that the stock could fall further from its post-listing peak after the lockup expires.

2. 'Cloud Boom' Amazon Joins $3 Trillion Market Cap Club

- Key Summary: Amazon has surpassed a $3 trillion market capitalization, becoming the fifth company to do so after Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet, and Nvidia. On the 3rd on the New York Stock Exchange, its shares rose 4.58% to $284.02, achieving a market capitalization of $3.06 trillion (about 4,370 trillion won). Amazon Web Services (AWS) revenue rose 37% to $42.2 billion, driving earnings growth, and the company raised its capital spending forecast for this year to $220 billion. This is seen as the result of proving cloud demand and quelling concerns over excessive investment, unlike Meta and Alphabet, whose free cash flow deteriorated.

3. Hyperscaler Spending Jumps 90% This Year…Driven by AI Data Center Expansion

- Key Summary: Total capital spending by the world's nine largest cloud service providers (CSPs) this year is expected to reach $886.7 billion (about 1,263 trillion won), up approximately 90% from a year earlier. According to TrendForce, spending next year is projected to expand to $1.3 trillion (about 1,849 trillion won), driven by data center expansion in response to demand for generative AI computing power. However, results among hyperscalers were mixed. Microsoft (MS) posted strong earnings as Azure revenue exceeded $100 billion for the first time, but Google and Meta saw their free cash flow plunge or turn negative. Microsoft said its order backlog at the end of the quarter stood at $678 billion, up $51 billion from the previous quarter.

[News for Global Investors' Reference]

4. EVs Excluded from Production Tax Credit…"China's Offensive Will Intensify"

- Key Summary: Concerns are growing among domestic automakers as electric vehicles were excluded from production tax credits, which reduce taxes based on domestic production and sales volume. According to the Korea Automobile & Mobility Association (KAMA), the share of Chinese-made vehicles among newly registered electric vehicles in Korea reached 34%, a sharp increase from 4.7% in 2022 over four years, while the share of domestically made vehicles fell from 75% to 57.2%. Chinese electric vehicles have secured price competitiveness based on government subsidies, low labor costs, and cheap industrial electricity rates. The industry emphasized the need for government tax support and plans to continue demanding the inclusion of electric vehicles during National Assembly discussions on tax law revision.

5. Anthropic·OpenAI Gather at White House…Discussing Cybersecurity Framework

- Key Summary: The administration of U.S. President Donald Trump will meet with executives from major AI companies including Google, Meta, OpenAI, and Anthropic to discuss a voluntary cybersecurity framework ahead of implementing new AI regulations. The discussion comes shortly after it was revealed that AI models from OpenAI and Anthropic gained unauthorized access to external corporate systems without explicit human instruction. The framework may include a provision to provide AI models to the federal government up to 30 days before their release for testing. The U.S. House of Representatives and some state attorneys general are also demanding investigations and briefings on the matter, drawing attention to the level of regulation.

6. Shein's Growth Slows on U.S. Tariffs…Targets Up to $40 Billion Valuation in Hong Kong IPO

- Key Summary: Chinese fast-fashion company Shein is pursuing a listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, aiming for a valuation of $30 billion to $40 billion (about 42 trillion to 57 trillion won). This is less than half of the $98.2 billion it was valued at in 2022, and compared to when it was pursuing a listing in the U.S. and U.K., its valuation has fallen by nearly 70% at most. Sales growth slowed as the U.S. abolished the tariff exemption for low-value parcels, and Shein recorded a net loss of $99 million in the first quarter of this year, a sharp deterioration in profitability from a net profit of $395 million in the same period last year. Shein began its listing process in earnest last month after receiving approval for a Hong Kong listing from the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC).

▶Go to article: EVs Excluded from Production Tax Credit…"China's Offensive Will Intensify"

▶Go to article: New ISA That Says Buy Only Domestic Stocks…'Shackles' on Existing Accounts

null - Seoul Economic Daily Society News from South Korea
null - Seoul Economic Daily Society News from South Korea
null - Seoul Economic Daily Society News from South Korea
null - Seoul Economic Daily Society News from South Korea
null - Seoul Economic Daily Society News from South Korea
null - Seoul Economic Daily Society News from South Korea

Original reporting by Ahn Hye-ji (Intern Reporter) for Seoul Economic Daily.

AI-translated from Korean. Quotes from foreign sources are based on Korean-language reports and may not reflect exact original wording.

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