Money Made in Stocks Ends Up Buying Apartments: Bank of Korea's Warning

■AI PRISM [Property News] Stock Capital Gains of 429 Trillion Won Accelerate KOSPI-Linked Home Price Gains Overdraft Account Usage Hits Highest Level Since COVID-19 DL E&C Wins Mokdong Complex 6 Order; Drfine Launched in Noryangjin

Finance|
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By Kang Do-won
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null - Seoul Economic Daily Finance News from South Korea

▲AI PRISM* Customized Economic Briefing

*Editor's Note: 'AI PRISM' (Personalized Report & Insight Summarizing Media) is an "AI-based personalized news recommendation and summarization service" developed with support from the Korea Press Foundation. It selects and provides six customized news items by reader type.

[Key Issue Briefing]

■ Stock-Driven Home Price Pressure: Households' stock capital gains reached 429 trillion won last year, more than 22 times the long-term average, raising pressure for stock market gains to flow into the property market. The correlation coefficient between the KOSPI index and actual transaction prices of Seoul apartments rose from around 0.4 in 2013-2019 to 0.7 in 2020-2025. As the KOSPI climbed nearly 100% within half a year this year, the market capitalization of the stock market also increased by 3,327 trillion won.

■ Loan Expansion Alarm: This month, personal credit loans at the five major banks swelled by more than 2.2 trillion won, marking the largest increase in five years and two months. The overdraft account usage rate stood at 44.8%, the highest level since COVID-19, while credit card loan balances also hit a record high, showing that demand for leveraged investment is spreading across the entire financial sector.

■ Seoul Reconstruction Front Expands: The first contractor selection has been made among the reconstruction of 14 complexes in Mokdong New Town, and redevelopment projects across Yeongdeungpo, Mapo, and Jung districts have passed the Seoul Metropolitan Government's Urban Planning Committee, with reconstruction and redevelopment projects gaining speed throughout Seoul.

[News of Interest to Property Investors]

1. Households Made 429 Trillion Won in Stocks Last Year… Flowing Into Property, Deepening 'K-Polarization'

- Key Summary: Households' stock capital gains reached 429 trillion won last year, 22 times the long-term average (20 trillion won), strengthening a structural trend in which the stock market boom drives home price increases. The correlation coefficient between the KOSPI index and actual transaction prices of Seoul apartments rose to 0.7 in 2020-2025, and as the KOSPI climbed nearly 100% within half a year this year, market capitalization swelled by 3,327 trillion won. The Bank of Korea warned in its recent Financial Stability Report that "if funds such as stock market profit realizations flow excessively into the housing market, the effect of easing financial imbalances from rising loan rates could be relatively weakened." As high-asset groups continue to use stock gains to move up to premium housing locations, asset polarization is deepening.

2. DL E&C Wins Mokdong Complex 6… First Step in Reconstruction of 14 Complexes

- Key Summary: DL E&C secured the construction rights for the reconstruction of Mokdong New Town Complex 6 in Yangcheon-gu, Seoul, creating the first contractor selection case among the reconstruction of 14 Mokdong New Town complexes. At the general meeting where 1,032 members, or 86.2% of the 1,196 union members, voted in favor, DL E&C proposed "Acro Mokdong Regency," incorporating its high-end brand "Acro," a large-scale project with an estimated construction cost of 1.2868 trillion won. It will be transformed into a complex of 2,173 households spanning two basement levels to a maximum of 49 floors above ground, and in collaboration with global architectural design group "Jerde," it has secured up to 1,577 households with views of the Han River and Anyangcheon. DL E&C plans to pursue additional orders in the remaining Mokdong New Town complexes on the back of this win.

3. 45-Floor Skyline at Prime Station Location… Capturing Both Location and Product Appeal

- Key Summary: SK ecoplant is launching "Drfine Artia," a residential-commercial apartment complex with a maximum of 45 floors above ground, in Noryangjin-dong District 2, Dongjak-gu, Seoul. It features a triple station-access location, situated directly at Jangseungbaegi Station on Subway Line 7 and within a 10-minute walk of Noryangjin Station on Lines 1 and 9, and offers access to key business districts such as Yeouido, Yongsan, and Gangnam within about 20 minutes. The highest sale price for the 84㎡ exclusive area unit is 2.76 billion won, the highest level among complexes supplied within Noryangjin New Town, while mortgage loans for homes worth 2.5 billion won or more are limited to 200 million won. With previously launched complexes in Noryangjin Districts 2 and 8 recording high subscription competition rates averaging 20-to-1, interest is also being drawn to this launch.

[Reference News for Property Investors]

4. Household Loans Also Rising… Swelled by at Least 5 Trillion Won This Month Alone

- Key Summary: As of the 25th, the household loan balance at the five major banks (KB Kookmin, Shinhan, Hana, Woori, and NH Nonghyup) stood at 774.4964 trillion won, up 3.6735 trillion won from the end of the previous month, and adding the increases from specialized credit financial firms and insurers, the household loan increase across the entire financial sector this month is estimated to exceed 5 trillion won. The personal credit loan balance at the five major banks, including overdraft accounts, reached 108.7272 trillion won, the highest in three years, while the overdraft account usage rate stood at 44.8%, the highest since COVID-19. Securities firms' credit loan balances also reached 38 trillion won at the end of last month, about twice the recent five-year average (20.1 trillion won), and credit card companies' card loan balances also renewed a record high at 43.2534 trillion won. The Financial Supervisory Service has directly inspected borrowed stock purchase trends and is moving to prevent the spread of excessive leveraged investment.

5. Foreign Stock Selling, Strong Dollar… Q2 Average Exchange Rate Likely to Exceed 1,500 Won

- Key Summary: The average won-dollar exchange rate in the second quarter this year is projected to surpass the 1,500-won level for the first time in 28 years and three months since the foreign exchange crisis, at 1,500.1 won. Foreigners net-sold 136.7 trillion won in the stock market from the start of this year through the 26th, and in particular sold off 49 trillion won in May, the largest monthly figure on record. The DXY index (the value of the U.S. dollar against six major currencies) stood at around 101.7 on the 24th, the highest in one year and one month, and the yen-dollar exchange rate also reached 161.93 yen, the highest in one year and 11 months, showing a doubly deepening won weakness. The Bank of Korea suggested in its Financial Stability Report that an exchange rate decline would not be easy in the short term, noting it is "difficult to judge when foreigners' rebalancing (portfolio readjustment) will conclude."

6. Yeongdeungpo Dangsan Hyundai 3rd to Be Rebuilt as Maximum 46 Floors, 734 Households

- Key Summary: The Seoul Metropolitan Government conditionally approved a total of six redevelopment project items at the Rapid Integrated Planning subcommittee of its 8th Urban Planning Committee, putting reconstruction and redevelopment projects across Yeongdeungpo, Yongsan, Mapo, and Jung districts on track. Dangsan Hyundai 3rd Apartment, completed in 1988, will be transformed into a maximum of 46 floors and 734 households with a floor area ratio of 399.66% under the raised ceiling for semi-industrial zones, while the Riverside and Gangseo apartments in Ichon-dong, Yongsan-gu, will be reconstructed into a maximum of 39 floors and 209 households through the public reconstruction method. Mapo District 4's Sub-districts 5, 6, 7, and 10 will have height limits eased and floor area ratios raised under the Seoul Metropolitan Government's deregulation plan, with 497 housing units of up to 49 floors above ground and a maximum height of 161 meters set to be built. Jung-gu's Euljiro 2-ga district will also be reorganized into a large business facility with a floor area ratio of 1,199% or less and a height of 172 meters or less, accelerating high-density development in central Seoul.

▶Go to article: Foreign Stock Selling, Strong Dollar… Q2 Average Exchange Rate Likely to Exceed 1,500 Won

▶Go to article: Touting Talent, Yet Scrapped RSU Tax Benefits in the End

null - Seoul Economic Daily Finance News from South Korea
null - Seoul Economic Daily Finance News from South Korea
null - Seoul Economic Daily Finance News from South Korea
null - Seoul Economic Daily Finance News from South Korea
null - Seoul Economic Daily Finance News from South Korea
null - Seoul Economic Daily Finance News from South Korea

Original reporting by Kang Do-won for Seoul Economic Daily.

AI-translated from Korean. Quotes from foreign sources are based on Korean-language reports and may not reflect exact original wording.

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